Poll indicates Ontario Minority Government

Wow, New poll from Forum Research in the Toronto Star shows the Liberals and Conservatives tied at 35% each in what has to be the biggest set of polling numbers in a Canadian election ever, here in Ontario.  The poll has the NDP at 23%.  If the numbers hold up, we will have a minority government and the the NDP will hold the balance of power in the legislature.

The NDP numbers are proving to be very inefficient. Without seeing the actual poll itself, its hard to see where the possibilities are for any of the parties really are.  There is a list of ridings that are too close to call.  According to the Star, these ridings are where the race will be won...
Beaches-East York, Ancaster-Dundas, Bramalea-Gore-Malton, Brampton-Springdale, Halton, Kitchener-Conestoga, Kitchener Centre, Kitchener-Waterloo, London North Centre, London West, Mississauga East, Mississauga Erindale, Mississauga South, Niagara Falls, Oak Ridges-Markham, Pickering-Scarborough East, Ottawa South, Richmond Hill, St. Catharines, Thornhill, Thunder Bay-Atikokan, Thunder Bay-Superior North, Timmins-James Bay, Trinity-Spadina, Welland, Windsor-Tecumseh, Windsor West, York Centre
That's 28 ridings. All three parties have ridings in play.  

The poll has another big surprise in that it shows McGuinty barely ahead in his own riding of Ottawa South. It would be interesting if after the election, the Liberals fail to elect Dalton McGuinty. The various scenarios that come into play are very intriguing. 

When we see more numbers, I will post links here.

No comments: